Assessing the wrong intelligence could be a major reason for the poor development of a BI system Sometimes, it begins by changing how one thinks. Knowing and accepting that there is an error in the process of assessing the intelligence. The approach of collecting information could also be the root cause of error.
Assessing complex situations by exploiting "The Occam's Factor" (aka The Occam's Razor) is not the way to go. There are risk consequences for utilizing that mode.
Instead of thinking and operating in an "absolute" mode, view things in terms of "situational relativity" would be beneficial on the long run. It would enable you to secure the path of least resistance. Knowing what particular variables are in play for that specific situation is what counts. This is the "Dao of Strategic Assessment."
Visit Cook Ding Kitchen, there is a mountain of content that could enlighten you.
In our future book project, we will focus on the process hierarchy behind the art and the science of strategic assessment.