Defining Strategic Power
Strategic Power (Shi) is an advantageous circumstance that an AoW strategist uses against their opposition. It begins by knowing the opposition in terms of their strategic foundation.
Applying the Process to the Super Bowl: Understanding the Tactical Imbalance of Strategic Power (Quan)
Step 1: Know the injury factor
The objective of each football strategist is to know who is injured (on both sides) and what is the quality of each injury. The quantity of injuries occasionally determines the quality and quantity of the strategic options and tactical choices.
The latest update relating to Super Bowl Final Injury Report & Game Status can be found here.
Step 2: Know the decision habits of the play callers and players
By viewing the game films and studying the relevant statistics, the strategist learns the tendencies of the opposing play caller and the positional players in terms of various decision making scenarios (strategic situations, various tactical situations, adjustments etc.) ...
It is going to be interesting especially when the defensive coordinator of each team knows the decision tendencies of the other. Here is a NYT story about it. We wondered if there is a possibility of a low scoring game. .
Step 3: Know the state of the terrain and the performance state of your competitor at the day of the competition
The game is being played in a dome stadium with a retractable roof,
As of this past Sat. 22:30 hr (est), the weather in Dallas was quite cold. Luckily the game is being played in a climate controlled terrain.
By combining specific data from each step, one begins to understand the strategic power of each competitor.
Here is N.Y. Times view on the matchup:
Ruminations from the Compass Desk
Within a predictable setting, the successful strategist usually focuses on the deployment of formations and the relative strength of each competitor in each tactical situation. He comprehends on what situation favors what set of players.
While studying game films, he looks for situations where there are situation formation weaknesses, technical mismatches and positional mismatches. Then he stages the gameplan. This is how the "real" professionals play the strategy game.
The Compass Rule of Strategic Planning (Game Planning):
The amount of time that it takes to deploy a strategic plan is inversely proportional to the amount of quality time that one properly spent assessing the big picture and planning your strategic plan.
The successful and experienced strategist usually spent a great deal of time- assessing and positioning, preparing for various opportunities. When those opportunities arrive, the team is collectively prepared to implement those strategic plays that enable them to prevail. Sometimes, it is 10 hrs of sound and solid planning and preparation for that one ten second period of positive execution.
However, we will cover more on the specifics behind this rule in a future post
Summary
The Compass Rule #1 for Strategic Decision Making:
Understanding the big tangible picture before making a strategic move.
By following this rule, one is able to filter the reality and the illusions of the competition and the terrain. The intent is to exploit the weaknesses and the strengths of the overall situation.
Forecast
Most of the Steelers offense is based on their running game. If the running game is neutralized, the rest of the offense will fail. I believed the loss of the starting center might hurt their running game. If the backup player cannot achieve the performing standard of the center, I expected the running game of the Steelers to be neutralized.
Possible Scenario
If the Steelers are behind in the game and if their offense is forced to pass on 3rd and long situation, I expected the Packers pass rush to neutralize their passing attack.
Based on the statistics from both sides and the current momentum, I expected the passing game of the Packers to find gaps within the Steelers defense.
Previous Super Bowl experience is irrelevant . The non-starters of the Green Bay Packers possess more game experience than the Steelers.
Who do we like? I do not know what the rest of my other Compass360 Consulting colleagues are doing. If I was betting on the game, I would prefer the choice of the "over" and I like the color combination of green and gold.
Regardless of the many prognostications, the game is won on the field.
# Update 02.06.11
As of 22:09 hrs est, the final score of the game was Green Packers 31 Steelers 25. The actual total score of the game went over the projected total score (45.5 to 46).
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