Automated Robots Will Be Taking Your Job, So, What's Your Next Best Move? (Part 2)

(updated at 21:00 hrs)

Click here on what are the first five jobs that will be taken by robots 

What is Your Next Best Move
If you are in one of those five jobs, learn to read the Big Picture before pinpointing the problem in your setting. 

This would enable you to become a creative problem solver. 

We will discuss the process of becoming a creative problem solver in a future post.

Automated Robots Will Be Taking Your Job, So, What's Your Next Best Move? (Part 1)

Source: Wikia.com
(updated at 21:10 hr)

Wendy makes the first move and plans to use self-ordering kiosks at 1,000 locations.

" ... Wendy's chief information officer, David Trimm, said the kiosks are intended to appeal to younger customers and reduce labor costs. Kiosks also allow customers of the fast food giant to circumvent long lines during peak dining hours while increasing kitchen production.

Trim estimates the company will see a return on its investment in less than two years. ..."  
- Business Insider

#
The Two Questions of the Day

• What is the probability of most people losing their job to a machine? 
• What is the probability of that person evolving to a occupation with a higher professional position?

So, what is your best move? 
Learn to recognize the matrix of your situation.  Identify what is the macro order within that terrain before pinpointing the disorder that prevents the terrain from being strategically efficient.   Those who are strategically perceptive, will understand this unique concept.  It is all in the Dao.

A Question for the Perceptive Strategist

Source: Random

(updated) 

Sunzi essay states that there are  five general types of obstacles that the perceptive strategist could encounter in any strategic endeavor. 

Mountains, valleys, rivers, flat lands and salt marshes are those five.  (Some translations have categorize mountains and valleys as one type.)

Regarding to specificity, there is a difference.


The Question of the Day
How  does one applies this perspective to their strategic endeavor? 

Applying Physics to Strategy: Staying Covert While Avoiding Being Overt

Source: Science20.com

(updated at 09.23.17,  2100 hrs)

"The more precisely the POSITION is determined,  the less precisely the MOMENTUM is known"  - Werner Heisenberg and the Uncertainty Principle

How does this applies to strategy?
The momentum of an object is always moving. Therefore the position is varying.

The strategic state of change is always in play.  … Knowing the rate of change can be challenging.   

When the competition knows that you know their position or that they know that you know something about a forth-coming opportunity.  Depending on their leadership and the efficacy state of their strategic foundation (economics,  logistics, etc.) they could change their course  of action, which then adjusts the macro state of the given strategic situation.  

Capitalizing on the multiplier of exploiting "inside" intelligence while preventing the competitor from getting the informational advantage that you know something relevant about them is the essence of superior strategic maneuvering.

Lesson: When competing in a chaotic setting, the perceptive strategist usually stays covert while avoiding being overt. ... 

Side Note
Whenever we decide to publish our Strategic Assessment/Positioning book, there will be a few examples on applying physics to strategy.   ... 

The New England Patriots Win!

Offense scores and thrills the crowds. Nonetheless, it is always the defense that wins the championships.

Regardless of the 28-3 deficit, the Patriots defense held their position on the third quarter, preventing the Falcons from increasing their lead while scoring the necessary points to tie the game. The Patriots later scored on a running play during overtime and prevailed in this "uber celebrated" sporting event.

Click here and click here for the NY Times perspective of this game.  ... Interestingly, they predicted the Falcons as the possible winner of the Super Bowl game.

It is time to return to the reality of life. 

Assessing Super Bowl 51 (Scenario Analysis) Updated

Source: Sox and Dawgs

(updated 02.05.17)

Those who are statistical fanatics, would prefer to examine specific data like the ranking of the receivers on 3rd down passing situations (based on the various field positions) and the quantity of knockdowns and sacks in a progression mode from the first game to the 18th game.

For this post, we decided not to dwell into the statistical specifics (the injuries, the quality of opposition, the depth, the offensive efficiency, the defensive efficiency, the individual offensive vs the opposing defensive match-up, the coaching comparisons, etc) of both teams, lets focus on a simple projection of this Super Bowl game.

The Grand Projection

Source: Fox6

Currently, the odds favored the New England to win this Championship game. 


The Pro-Patriots Scenario
Patriots win if the two or more of the following three conditions occurred:

• the Patriots scores first while implementing a slowdown methodical run game that prevents the Atlanta offense from getting on the field;
• the Falcons running backs cannot consistently penetrate toward the 2nd line of the defense; and
• the Falcons passing game is nullified if the Pats pass rush influences the Falcons quarterback.

We are surmising that the Patriot's game plan will be similar to these two following approaches
Approach#1: Influencing the opponent to implement their alternative offensive option
The Bill Belichick's Patriots defended the St Louis Rams by implementing a defensive backs-based defensive approach in 2002. Challenging them to run the ball while preventing them from passing the ball.    

Approach#2: Influencing the opponent to play defense
In 1991, NY Giants defended the Buffalo Bills by keeping their high scoring offense off the field.  They effectively ran the ball into the heart of the Buffalo's defense while preventing the Bills from getting the ball. Bill Belichick was the Giants defensive coordinator who ran a defensive backs-based "bend but don't break" defensive alignment where they dared the Buffalo offense to run the ball because they understood the tendencies of the opposing QB and the limitations of their offensive scheme.

Andre Reed, a former Buffalo Bills player also believes in this possibility.

While Atlanta possesses the capability to play "the comeback and catch up" offense,  we doubted if their defense can dominate the New England's offense.


The Pro-Falcons Scenario 
The Falcons could win as long if they score first and dominates the ball possession time factor by passing the ball and completing intermediate routes and long passes consistently with the tactical approach of numeric mismatches.  The consistency of positive passing will not only spread the opposing offense, but it will stage them to execute inside run plays

Atlanta could surprise New England with a hurry up no huddle offense approach on the first two drives of the game. If they score on both drives and if Patriots offense is not able to respond with their own scores, the NE fans will be expecting a long day.    

If Matt Ryan (Falcons QB) consistently hits his receivers on those intermediate to long routes, we expected Falcons to win. However, if the Pats defense are able to influence Ryan to run and pass or influences the Falcons to execute their run game , their chances to shutting down the Falcons offense increases.

The lynchpin of the Falcons offensive success begins with the center of the offensive line.  ... If the all-pro center Alex Mack is unable to play 100%, the Falcons passing game will falter. ... One can expect the New England's defense's to pressure him to break.  Do not expect the second string player behind Mack to perform in the same level as the starter.  ...  Historically, most second string players are usually unable to play up to that level in a championship game of this magnitude.
 
Predictions of Possible Scenarios
This game is a contest between the top scoring offense vs. the top scoring defense.

If the Falcons takes a minimum of 10 points lead into half time, the advantage favors them. 

If the Patriots takes a minimum of 10 points lead into half time, they will be grinding their opponent by running the ball into the heart of the Falcons defense.

If the game is even or near parity, the special teams on both sides become quite relevant.  Experience-wise, New England has a slight edge in this category.

In this competitive terrain, securing the two second advantage is the name of the game.  Research tells us that both teams have been able to adjust on the fly, especially if the game goes sideways for them.

If the New England Patriots win, the total score will be under 58.5 points.
However, if the Falcons win, the total score will be over 58.5 points (if the game becomes a shootout).

/// If the game did not go overtime, the total points would have been under 58.5.  Final Score:  NE Patriots 32  Atl. Falcons 28 

In summary, the Falcons possesses the grand advantage of winning regardless of the score because of their high powered offense, where the Pats would only prevail in an "under" game.



The Grand Football Maxim
Offense scores and thrills the crowds. Nonetheless, it is always the defense that wins the championships.


Side Notes
Before watching the game, wear your blue or gray hoodie and/or read your copy of Sunzi's Art of War. :)   This might evoke your strategic mind.  ... It might help you in the practice of knowing the next three moves in any endeavor that one pursues.  ... By knowing the next three possible moves, the successful strategist is ahead of the curve.

If the Automated Robots Take Your Job, What's Your Next Best Move?

Regardless of the ascending trend of automation, creative strategic thinking is the key for the ambitious expediters and capitalists who does not want to lose their social-economic position in the global value-driven food chain.

How does one acquires this mindset? ... Viewing the technical realm of one's life without the Occam's Razor perspective, will enable one to examine the configuration of their terrain in terms of components, coverage, conditions and other tactical specifics.   

Click here and here for some interesting insights from McKinsey.   

More to come. 

*  Many thanks to Rick Matz of Cook Ding's Kitchen for these links